Oscar Predictions: 2020

It’s already that time again to sit down and watch the awards given out to all the best movies that came out over the past year. Luckily, I’ve managed to seen every single movie nominated this year, so I figured I should throw out my predictions.

As usual, we take the nominations and destroy the process. Where are the women directors? Why are all the nominees white? My personal opinion — I don’t think the nominees are completely wrong this year, but I do think we need more information on how the numbers break down. How many votes did sixth, seventh and eighth place have in comparison to who snagged the fifth spot? I know we won’t see it, but what the harm?

The two people that I’d like to speak on are both Greta Gerwig & Lupita Nyong’o. I think that Greta’s spot was taken from the massive success of Todd Phillips Joker, which leads with 11 nominations. Joker’s achievements were not expected and if you would’ve told me it would have the most nominations come award season, I’d say you were crazy. Keeping on my thoughts on point, I’d throw Greta in at the five spot and take Martin Scorsese out. Crazy? I don’t think so. Lastly, Lupita Nyong’o should have been nominated for Best Actress. It’s not the color of her skin that kept her off the list, it’s the fact that US came out in March and the process of how movies get recognition is broken. If the movie would’ve came out in November… she’d be nominated. It’s sad, movies that release earlier in the year practically have no chance because momentum disappears over time and people forget. We need to change this.

Would either Greta Gerwig or Lupita Nyong’o win if they were nominated? No, but that doesn’t break from the fact that they should have.

(Side note: can we get a Horror Category? This genre is getting better and better… it needs more recognition. “And the nominees for Best Horror Film are” Midsommar, Us, The Lighthouse, Doctor Sleep & Tigers Are Not Afraid. Could you imagine?)

Something to note that I mentioned last year, once again The Academy had one more slot to fill in the Best Picture category which they left vacant. In my opinion, more movies creates more buzz, so I don’t understand their decision or why the voting even allows it. Average movie goers will go and see movies nominated for Best Picture, so why not add more fuel to the fire. Ten movies ‘you need to see’ instead of nine (last year eight) is better for the industry. Why leave a film like Uncut Gems out when there are empty slots available? I’ll never understand.

Agree? Disagree? Let me know in the comments.

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